Introductory Remarks (21 April 2025): This piece of speculative opinion was first published on the 18th of January. Many of the prognoses come to reality as sketched below. Still, I hope I’m wrong and the USA will not sell out Israel.
Israel has once again become a victim of US domestic politics. How so? Well, Trump is not pandering to Islam and its delusional claims to power, as some pundits suggested. Islamistic circles are irrelevant and did not help Trump come to power.
The MAGA movement helped Trump come to power. It is Trump’s creation, like a golem. One of the backbones of MAGA is the pro-Israel evangelical organizations. They accomplished the goal. And now the golem must be stopped, put to rest. No more needed. Even dangerous.
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הוֹדִיעוּ בָעַמִּים, עֲלִילֹתָיו
Why? Because, as president, Trump must follow the constitution and the regulations of the (state) institutions. Trump must work with Congress, the state, and the judiciary. They are elected and hold the strings of power. MAGA is not elected. He can no longer obey the extra-parliamentary MAGA movement. It is now more of a hindrance. It must be disempowered so that Trump can govern.
Trump cannot now need a movement on the streets that drives him, Trump. With Israel, Trump can break the power of MAGA by ostentatiously sacrificing Israel and handing it over to terror. MAGA should now react, but does not. The same goes for those who have campaigned for Israel and are now part of the Trump administration.
They are all silent, as if in shock. To die domestically because of a foreign policy issue? Not in the Republican Party and environment like MAGA, which are traditionally unburdened by foreign policy considerations. Israel is the ideal domestic political lever to disempower the political NGO MAGA.
Israel is paying the price for this. Solution: No matter what, Israel must risk the exodus. Unfortunately, Moses is missing – figuratively speaking. All other roles (Amalek, Pharaoh, the suffering of Am Israel) are filled. And again, Israel’s cum grano salis uneducated elites understand neither Israel’s friends nor enemies.
In the meantime, many European users on X are scared. Why? They fear that in the next deal with Putin about Ukraine, Trump will give all of Eastern Europe to Russia. Trump wants Greenland, Canada and the Panama Canal. He sees no business in the Middle East and Europe. He looks at America.
What will happen next?
If my speculative thoughts are correct, what will we see next?
1. Trump puts pressure on Israel to withdraw from Lebanon. Well, as I wrote, it happened. See the report on Jerusalem Post.
2. Trump puts pressure on Israel to withdraw from Syria.
3. Trump puts pressure on Israel to show a timetable to implement a “Palestinian” state.
4. Israel has to accept all terms of Saudi Arabia to be allowed to open an office in Riad.
5. Trump cut a deal with Iran, and Israel pays.
6. Hamas will break the ceasefire deal, as it already did by not providing the list of hostages to be released, but Trump ignores it. There is no help whatsoever, and no OK to attack Hamas. Hamas can break the deal as often Hamas likes to do so.
7. There are all kinds of economic pressures, like blocking the import of US chips. The argumentation employed by Biden holds true for the Trump administration, too. Israel outperformed the USA in innovation and investment in cybersecurity. That’s the economic background. It’s the economy. Stupid.
Caroline Glick nailed the unbelievable dimension and depth of the betrayal of Israel: “It needs to be said, if the U.S. wanted a deal, it could have had one that didn’t require these murderers to go free. All Washington needed to do was threaten Qatar, Egypt and Turkey — Hamas’s state sponsors — with actual sanctions for their harboring of terrorists. But no pressure whatsoever was brought to bear on Hamas or its state sponsors, only on Israel.“
The elites of the deep state and the left mob will, as usual, hunt down the government. In consequence. The government does not dare to restart the war. And yes, No sovereignty. If Trump means no violation by Hamas, Israel does not get support.
Our elites now sell us that it is brilliant to give away the decision about war to Washington. However, that is not sovereignty. Trump and the full right-wing government are on the path to surrender and installing an antisemitic and anti-democratic terror state, “Palestine”, in the Jewish heartland.
All obviously nodded by Trump. And all the pro-Israel forces within MAGA and the new US administration stay silent. MAGA is dead.
Bad “Deal”
But it takes two to make a bad “deal”. The side of the anti-democratic, anti-Semitic, Islamic terrorist organization Hamas does not need to be discussed here. In all capitals of the free world, the “deal” is being celebrated as a victory for Hamas. Hamas won. Israel lost. That is a fact.
Alan M. Dershowitz pointed out that it is not a “deal” but an extortion: “The decision by the Israeli government to make significant concessions to the Hamas kidnappers should never be called a “deal.” It was an extortion … The kidnapping was a crime. And the extortionate demand was an additional crime.” An extortion brokered by a highly dubious person who is not an official part of the incoming administration but a kind of “envoy”. Nothing official, not factual state-related.
The ‘Trump factor’ has already been discussed. The factor of the ‘elites of Israel’ still needs to be mentioned. Israel’s left elites (many of them associated with the deep state) and the elected elites have politically betrayed the people of Israel and Judaism. And the right camp never had the guts, resources and organizations to stand its ground and show unity.
And the elected elites are not very reliable and trustworthy. They all have a strong tendency to hesitate, procrastinate and be opportunistic. A general, global marker of politicians. An example of a major actor of the elected elites is Netanyahu. Within a year, without giving any explanations, he turned around his political stance by 180 degrees.
Netanyahu said in 2024: “I have red lines for a deal. We will not end the war, we will not withdraw the IDF from the Gaza Strip, and we will not release thousands of terrorists” Well, we all know what Netanyahu agreed today, one year later. Thousands of Muslim terrorists are released.
Israel has one of the weakest governments ever. Not only the fault of Netanyahu but of the right camp as such. The current Israeli government, like all Israeli governments since the Oslo Accords, has consistently failed in three essential areas and served only its elite interests and the interests of its immediate clientele. The second and third Israel have and will always pay the price. The areas of epic fail are democracy, economy and security.
EPIC FAILS
Democracy. De facto rule of the unelected elites of the deep state and the bureaucracy over the countless ministries to serve the clientele of the elected elites. Currently, the reform of the justice system is being prevented by all means, which has established a hegemony of the left-wing elites over the decades. One of many keywords: Selective enforcement against religious people and the right camp in general.
Economy. High cost of living, which is around 40% above the OECD average, hardly a free market. Oligopolies and monopolies that seem more socialist)
Security. The ongoing failure of the Oslo Doctrine, the Disengagement (2005) and the wrong strategy that Islamic terrorism can be “contained” and appeased. Land for peace, money for peace, independence/state for peace, all failed. The enemy is concerned with the complete destruction of Israel and the Jewish people. There is no compromise. The security establishment has not understood this to this day.
Against this background, where much more could be said, a “deal” was agreed that many Israelis see as Israel’s capitulation. Israel has lost the war.
What is in the “deal”? Unfortunately, the contract of this “deal” has not yet been published, which is another significant, serious democratic deficit. In my view, Cheryl E summarized the main points.
“Details of the agreement for the release of the hostages, as approved by the government: – In the first phase, 1,904 terrorists will be released – 737 of whom are being held by the Prison Service, and another 1,167 Gazans who were arrested during the ground maneuver and are being held by the IDF – terrorists who did not participate in the October 7 massacre. – The ceasefire will go into effect on Sunday at 4:00 PM. Each day that hostages are released, a number of terrorists will be released according to the key. The releases are expected to take place on Sunday, and then every Saturday – on days 1, 7, 14, 21, 28, 35 and 42 of the agreement. – The principles for releasing the hostages: first the living women, then the remaining alive hostages. In the sixth week, those who are not alive will be released. Release keys: – For the kidnapped women, children, and adults over the age of 50 who are alive – 30 terrorists for each kidnapped woman. – For the nine sick and injured hostages on the list – the release of 110 terrorists (proportionally, according to those who are alive). – For the female soldiers – 50 terrorists will be released for each one. – For Abra Mengistu and Hisham al-Sayed – the release of 30 terrorists for each of them, and another 47 for both of them together. – In exchange for the release of all the abductees who are not alive from Phase one, the Gazan detainees captured during the ground maneuver in the Strip (approximately 1,000 as stated) will be released proportionally. – Terrorists who commit murder or were involved in an attack in which Israelis were murdered – will be deported to Gaza or abroad. However, there are certain conditions that allow them to return to the territories of Israel or the Judea and Samaria after 3 years (provided that they have not committed a terrorist offense during this period and are subject to Shin Bet approval). – 600 aid trucks will enter Gaza daily – All humanitarian aid trucks that enter the Strip within the framework of the agreement will be inspected.“
However, there are also other voices within the government, but they are a minority. Minister Shikley said in the TV show ‘Patriots’ on Channel 14: “A deal in which hundreds of murderers responsible for hundreds of Israeli deaths are released gives a clear boost to terrorism. The “life imprisonment” sentence becomes a fiction. If you don’t get released within a decade – you’ll get released within 20, and if not within 20 – then 30. It all depends on how many Israelis you kidnap along the way… The return of hundreds of terrorists to Judea and Samaria keeps me awake at night. (…) We have to hope that this deal won’t be a death sentence for dozens of Israelis. That’s what led me to oppose it.“
Malka Fleisher elaborated in her post on X who will be released. Unbelievable.
“Just a few of the absolute dregs of humanity being released into society under the hostage deal: 1. Ahmad Barghouti: sentenced to 13 life terms for leading a “murder machine” that carried out attacks in which 12 Israelis were killed, including the suicide bombing at the Seafood Market restaurant in Tel Aviv. 2. Wael Qassem, Wassam Abbasi, Mohammed Odeh: responsible for attacks that killed 35 Israelis, including the bombing at Café Moment in Jerusalem where 11 were killed, the attack at the Spaghettim Club in Rishon LeZion where 15 were killed, and the bombing at the Frank Sinatra Cafeteria at the Hebrew University where 9 were killed. 3. Zakaria Zubeidi – Former commander of the Al-Aqsa Martyrs’ Brigades in Jenin, responsible for attacks including at the Likud branch in Beit She’an where 6 Israelis were killed. He was also one of the terrorists who escaped from Gilboa Prison in 2021. Zubeidi will be freed to Judea and Samaria. 4. Abdullah Sharabati, Majdi Zaatari, and Samer Alatrash: responsible for attacks on bus lines 2 and 14 in Jerusalem in 2003, one of which killed 23 Israelis, including 7 children, and carried out the suicide bombing on line 6 in the French Hill where 7 were killed and 20 injured. 5. Mohammed Amoudi, who dispatched the suicide bomber for the attack at the “Mayor’s Shawarma” stand in Tel Aviv in 2006, killing 11 people. 6. Mohammed Abu Warda, who sent suicide bombers for the attacks on line 18 in Jerusalem in 1996 in which 45 Israelis were killed. He is serving 48 life sentences in an Israeli prison. 7. Mahmoud Atallah, a life prisoner who murdered a Palestinian woman, and during his time in a security prison, was accused of raping a female guard as part of the pimping scandal in Gilboa Prison. He’s being released to Judea and Samaria. 8. Nour Jaber – A terrorist responsible for the murder of 16 Israelis: dispatched the suicide attacks on the worshipers’ route in Hebron in 2002 where 12 Israelis were killed, including Brigade Commander Dror Weinberg, and the attack in Atzmona in 2002 where 4 Israelis were killed. 9. Sami Jaradat, one of the terrorists responsible for the attack at Maxim Restaurant in Haifa in 2003, where 21 Israelis were killed. 10. Ali Sufuri, a senior Islamic Jihad terrorist responsible for the murder of 9 Israelis and the injury of more than 100: the car bomb explosion at the central station in Hadera where 45 Israelis were injured, the shooting attack at the market in Hadera where 4 were killed, the suicide bombing at the Check Post junction where 29 civilians were injured, and many more attacks. 11. Omar Al-Zaben, a leader of the Al-Qassam Brigade, responsible for attacks in which 27 Israelis were killed, sentenced to 27 life terms in prison. 12. Ramadan Mashahra: involved in the suicide bombing in Gilo, Jerusalem in 2002, where 19 Israelis were killed. 13. Shadi Amouri, one of the planners of the car bomb attack at the Megiddo junction in 2002, where 17 were killed. 14. Thabet Mardawi, a senior Islamic Jihad operative responsible for attacks during the Second Intifada in which 21 were killed & nearly 200 injured.” (high lightening names by VonNaftali)
In the meantime, Hamas broke the “deal”. Guess what, it has no consequences. Just some strong words from PM Netanyahu. In other words, nothing will happen. Hamas comes away again. And that wrong decision today is the fault of the current government. Hams breached the ceasefire deal. They should be bombed to hell.
Global Celebration and Israelis are Outlawed
Worldwide, the “deal” is celebrated for what it is: The defeat of Israel. Hamas&Islamism won, and the West, the USA and Israel are defeated. Israel will pay in the near future the price for this defeat with thousands of killed, slaughtered and kidnapped Israeli citizens. Hamas announced: The next 7/10 is imminent.
Israel’s security establishment is not capable of providing security for the citizens of Israel. About 2.000 of the Islamic terrorists, aka perverse sadistic murderers, are unleashed on Israel like wild dogs. Israel’s civilian population is left defenceless and is outlawed.
The North is still evacuated, “PA” carries out terror attacks as they wish, same as the Houthis and no Israeli can return to the Aza envelope. But Shin Bet and the IDF are hunting with a lot of energy and resources some Jewish shepherds wearing kippot. Weird.
If a civilian Jew defends himself, he is immediately in danger of being pursued by the security authorities as maybe a terrorist or criminal and charged or arrested. We can see this, for example, in Judea and Samaria. If he, the Jewish civilian victim, does not defend himself, he is dead or kidnapped. If he defends himself, he is arrested. Bad choice.
In the meantime, “PA” and the Jihadists of Jenin are allies again under the triumphal victory choirs in Aza after Israel agreed to the surrender “deal”. Bad things are on the road. Thanks to Trump. And soon, Hezbollah will be rearmed because Trump forces Israel to get out of Lebanon, although the Lebanese Army has no control over Hezbollah.
The full right-wing government failed as said in three core subjects: democracy (rule of the unelected elites of deep state and no justicial reform), economy (highest costs of living. They are about 40% over the OECD average) and security (7/10, first lost the first war in the history of Israel, Israeli citizens are outlawed and defenceless).
Indeed, the left mob, so-called NGOs (funded by foreign funds), and left-wing political parties, together with the outgoing US Administration Biden/Obama/Harris, coerced the elected government of Israel. And their violence was very seldom prosecuted.
Critics see a lot of selective enforcement in favour of the left mob by the deep state. But it is the weakness of the government to immediately give in to some minor protests on the streets. The full right-wing government has no idea about law and order in the public. Sounds absurd, but reality. The right camp is not fit to lead. It bows away as soon it is confronted. Although the right camp has a majority, it is elected and by that entitled. But the left, in general, does not accept elected majorities which are not their own. Why I regard the left as an antidemocratic movement.
And again, Trump. “Not only has Trump’s threat of “hell to pay” unless all hostages were released by Jan. 20 proved hollow, not even all the hostages who are US citizens will be released. Trump is beginning his presidency by handing Hamas a victory — and forcing Israel to swallow it,” wrote Jeff Jacoby from the ‘Boston Globe’.
Islamic rapists and murderers are released on Israeli soil. The left, our elites, the security establishment and the USA betrayed Israel. Every Israeli killed by a “Palestinian” is on their hands. HaShem will avenge the blood.
Today, a terrorist attack in Tel Aviv. The era of being an outlaw as citizen started. Hamas celebrated this terror attack. The writer Lee Kern commented in his brilliant way on X: “THINGS I DID TODAY: Went to a bomb shelter when Muslims fired ballistic missiles at me Sat on the beach and read a book Threw a frisbee with my friend and her dog Saw the dead body of a muslim terrorist covered after he stabbed people and was shot I could say this stuff isn’t normal – but it actually is normal for the planet – the history of the world is full of tyrannies that tried to kill and dominate humanity We are decades into a jihadist civilisation of muslim extremists trying to exert their will over mankind through murder and intimidation.”
Seen from a more religious, Tora-leaning perspective, we have all on the scene: Amalek, Pharaoh, and the oppressed, tortured and slaughtered Am Israel, but without a leader and where is the land? Well, the Exodus might be equalled with regaining Sovereignty over the Eretz Jisroel. However, it is still missing Moishe. Or maybe Moshiach is imminent. It is said that things will get worse before Moshiach comes. Things are worse now.