Syrian civil war and what does this mean for Israel?

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A few indisputable facts can be summed up quickly: On Friday, a jihadist attack backed by Turkey rolled in on Aleppo.

Within a few hours, the Syrian army and its allies (Iran and Russia) were destroyed or had fled. The Islamists supported by Turkey, who goes by the acronym ‘HTS’ (Haiʾat Tahrir al-Sham), marched into Syria’s second-largest city with around 2 million inhabitants. Assad disappeared.

The HTS is a rather incoherent alliance of jihadists, ISIS, al-Qaida, al-Nusra and many others. Calling them “rebels” is euphemistic nonsense. They are an Islamist gang of murderers. They too want to destroy democracy, Israel and all non-Muslims aka unbelievers. In summary, in Aleppo, Islamist murder gangs have driven out other Islamist murder gangs.

Behind one murder gang is NATO member Turkey, and behind the other is Assad with Russia and Iran. The days of Turkish NATO membership must be numbered. Turkey cannot remain a NATO member with its support of Islamists and its great power dreams of restoring an ‘Ottoman Caliphate’.

The hegemonic powers Russia and Iran were crushingly defeated today. A military defeat of epic proportions. Russia will be able to do little other than a few cosmetic attacks by its air force. Russia has tied up its resources in Ukraine. Russia is no longer capable of a global multi-front war.

Another player has also failed: Hezbollah can no longer expect much support and is not providing any help itself. Along with this, the Mullah regime is locked, with no tactical power. The axis of the ‘United Dictators” seems to fold. Although China and North Korea are on the table but unclear what their next steps will be. For sure they do not want to be involved in dirty urban warfare.

At first glance, therefore, everything is going well for Israel. The mullah regime has little choice but to put everything on one card. Which could be to Israel’s disadvantage in the short term: maybe.

The mullah regime could try to turn things around with a relief attack and an all-out war. This means a massive frontal attack on Israel. This will herald for sure the end of the Mullah regime, which can be predicted for January 21 or 22, 2025.

As it turns out, it was a very stupid idea of ​​the outgoing US administration Biden/Harris and the European Union under the leadership of Germany to destabilize and disarm the only military factor of order in the Middle East., Israel. Things will be remembered.

One can hope that at least in the few remaining days of the Biden government responsibility and some pragmatical reasoning will prevail. But one should not be confident. In the last few days, the anti-Semitic ideologues in the White House are in charge.

The prospect of a Kurdish state is back on the agenda and the Kurdish-led military alliance of the non-Islamic minorities, the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces), may now have its historic moment. Meanwhile, Assad has disappeared towards Moscow.

Israel could now play a decisive role for itself, the Kurds and the Iranian non-mullah forces. There is a very clear convergence of interests and common coordinates and values: sovereignty, freedom, and democracy.

A military defeat of the Turkish-backed militias and the fall of the Mullah regime is in the interests of Jerusalem as well as the Kurds and the exiled Iranian forces. The Arab world under the leadership of Saudi Arabia plays no role.

What must be certain in any case is that Israel must hold onto southern Lebanon, because it is the crucial buffer zone should HTS, along with other Iraqi militias and the remnants of Hezbollah and the Mullah regime, succeed in launching a relief attack against Israel. The IDF is considering going into Syria to safeguard Israel’s Golan Heights and keep the chaos from spilling across the border. A good and excellent thought.

As we know from history, the last days of a collapsing regime are the most dangerous. However, it could be a win-win situation and a brilliant moment for Israel and democracy in the Middle East.